|
AstroEcon |
|
Entry Level ONE SAMPLE UPDATE GOLD/MACRO
Subscriber update These are thinking persons updates. No Bradley or mechanical methods used here |
|
Mission statement
This is entry level. That means I don't get too cute and leave you all behind with so much info every week you get frustrated. I also don't feel it is necessary to get very deep into my controversial geo-political perspectives or get too "far out" with quantum physics discussions here. I also feel I should go back and start over as far as the teaching part of what I do here. I have a unique perspective and a way of looking at the way astrology works and hope to convey those ideas here one update at a time. Those that want a more detailed info package and an ability to ask questions are welcome to upgrade to level two and receive these level one update as a free bonus. The current password system is set up so Level 2 subscribers can get into level 1 with the same password. Level one subscribers cannot get into level 2 however. ~~~ Lesson 2 In lesson one we learned that we humans are not the subject of
a mysterious force from the stars and planets that pushes our behavior around.. We ARE
part of the energy ourselves and therefore HAVE FREE WILL.. of course free within the
constraints of our previous intentions. Intentions that are telegraphed by what
the birth chart says about what type experiences we have chosen to have in this
life. After all the years of looking at charts of people it is still amazing to
see how stunningly perfect we are in expressing our birth intentions. The birth
chart has stationary positions of the planets and the planets moving in the sky
pass over sensitive spots in the birth chart called transit to natal aspects.
Here is an example of a guy who must have had a very bad astro day. Transits happen for indivuals and also the collective. Birth charts for countries work like the birth chart of an individual. We can get some idea how a counties fortunes may be playing out by looking at transits to the birth chart of a nation. There is another macro layer beyond national influences which is affecting the entire planet. This is the basis for the work I post here called transit to transit aspects. Aspects are angles from one planet to another which determine
how the planets are getting along. A hard aspect is zero 90 and 180 degrees. A
soft aspect is zero 60 and 120 decrees. How do planets movement through various angles to each other have an effect on the whole. We each have a birth chart that is our own personal frozen moment. A snapshot of the universe at the moment of first breath. The planets continue on after that frozen moment and pass over sensitive areas of each of our birth charts. When a VERY positive or VERY negative alignment is forming up in the sky between two or more planets this aspect in the sky is happening as a transit to everyone's chart. Thus everyone is affected a bit .. The basis for the transit to transit type of forecasting I have done since 1975 is there will be enough effect on enough people by a transiting relationship between planets in the sky to change market trends.. This works to change PERCEPTION of the present. therefore the price will change to reflect a new notion. The change in perception can be a reaction to an EVENT that is generated by the astro energies. Or it can also be that a tipping point in psychology has reached an extreme and a change of perception back to a less extreme view occurs. In this entry level update we are going to stay mostly with the planets aspects from Jupiter on out which have much to do with the big picture. . Jupiter in particular has a large effect as does Saturn. Both
are very big and have a strong effect on the sunspot cycle . The cycle of
Jupiter and Saturn conjunction cycle is 20 years between and in a strange twist
they return back to the same place relative to each other every 60 years. ~~~~ A NOTE about the Myanmar cyclone and how a tragic mass death event fits into the big picture. I know this is a difficult concept for many but we have to deal with it due to the nature of the event last week. I have been discussing an "energy got to go somewhere" theorem in the level 2 updates for years. In brief in the simplest way possible.. the world is a whole .. kind of like a big ball of energy. When markets are operating freely without any political interference in the pattern there is a tendency for markets to react to negative astro and to correct on time with the astro. This is natures way of moderating an over speculative situation. When a finance market correction is UNABLE to get traction due to an interference in market pattern by politicians which voids that correction in the appropriate sized magnitude for the technical situation at the time there is a tendency for this negative energy to concentrate itself in an event OUTSIDE of market manifestation. This is something I have learned though observation. The first time I saw it for myself was the Fed move in October 1998 when a cut interest rates on an option expiration Thursday surprised a lot of traders. This quite unfair act that rewarded the specs who caused the problem blasted the market out of a major bear pattern that was pointing to one more big sell off within a few weeks. The bears who could not get out of the way of it lost a LOT of money. Hurricane Mitch killed 10000 plus a week later. The lows seen on that day before the surprise rate cut were unbroken for a long time. In the current situation with the cyclone we have seen a LOT of
manipulation. VERY BLATANT and in fact unprecedented... . And the cyclone death
count was second only to (or even bigger than) the boxing day tsunami in December
2004. Big manipulation = Big reaction. Big picture aspects in play now Jupiter is sextile to Uranus. The big pic is the next Jupiter Uranus sextile while Jupiter is in retrograde will be exact on May 21st. This sextile is VERY GOOD.. the question is very good for WHO.. Good being a RELATIVE TERM. Seems not so great for those who like to lie and do underhanded tactics that require a lack of transparency. This aspect provides a good deal of insight and wisdom. Seems that this year is ideal for the emperor without clothes to be exposed for what he is. Jupiter being the planet of expansiveness and wisdom coming into a relationship with Uranus the planet of intuition and unexpected CHANGE is giving the ability to SEE clearly what many people unable to do so up until now. This has been good for a lot of new thought and quantum physics coming together. The combination of these two also has a lot to do with speculative energies. In this case the relationship between Jupiter and Uranus is an EASY ONE. This will make it easier for many people to stand down on an ultra speculative mindset and actually have a clue on risks. I think we see the results in the way previously leveraged financial markets are now attempting to de leverage. Now this soft aspect pair SHOULD in hindsight later on this year as the last sextile is past exact in the fall be OBVIOUS that a gold low was formed during the period from March to October 2008. The middle of the three coming as it is at the end of May looks a bit appealing from that point of view. Saturn and Pluto have been in a soft trine since August of 2007. Saturn is concentrating energies which is the opposite of Jupiter expansiveness. Pluto is creative destruction and core/root power/ The combo in ANY aspect tends to be an aid for the status quo. It is possible that the peak of power players who seemingly run this country against the will of the people is going to begin to wane. This will be particularly so when Saturn moves past a two degree orb of the trine by the second week of June. The next few weeks we will see this very persistent aspect which remained near exact for months finally begin to break up. Saturn made a direct station on May 2nd.. Hummm that is a date the recent rally topped. It was also a NON FARM PAYROLL DAY that was obviously a fudged number. The patch job of the sub prime crisis may also begin to wear thin after mid June. Pluto is transiting over the galactic center. The last of these transits by Pluto over the GC will be when Pluto makes a direct station at 28.30 Sag on September 9th 2008. Pluto transits OFTEN result in a short squeeze and in this case it would stand to reason gold would be a candidate. September 9th has a LOT of other aspects clustered around that date. Venus Mars and Mercury conjunction squared to Jupiter.. Jupiter and Saturn trined. I would be watching gold very carefully here. Gold has a seasonal tendency to turn in August. If this August becomes a final liquidation stage for gold during a last gasp deflation scare and a corrective low is present in August 08 look out above. Oh and we have an eclipse pair in August also. GOLD IS POLITICAL and this element is in play in August and September. The outcome in November will translate into a style of governance change starting in January 2009. There is a very long duration Jupiter Neptune conjunction in the first half of 2009 that suggests a tidal wave of liquidity coming on in the first half of 2009. One reason I favor Obama at present is he is a best fit for an inflationary spending spree that I have termed the NEXT NEW DEAL.. That being said we do have to consider that it has been the repubs over the last 30 years who have been the big spenders. And McCain has that FDR look about him. Maybe trends continue as repubs get away with deficit spending a lot better than dems do these days. Obama or McCain is simply going to be a matter of style. The astro suggests the seeds of a hyper inflation problem getting started in 2009 not matter who is at the helm. The dems will have a candidate chosen in August and the Repubs on September 4th. The Dems will be "choosing" during an eclipse month... Humm .. Obama is an August 4th Leo and the solar is on August 1st. That kinda does not look good. I also note that Obama has been dealing with a Saturn passage over his natal Pluto at 6 Virgo since last November. This transit will end with a kind of a bang on July 11th when a Saturn Mars conjunction will be exact at 5-6 Virgo. Mercury and Pluto will be in an opposition that day also which hits his chart in a way that could involve a sex scandal. NOTE.. McCain has his natal sun at 6 Virgo. Is this a sign of a
dirty trick type thing? Or is this when he takes on Hillary as VP?? gonna be
interesting indeed. Just as that quad conjunction is past on the 3rd of September
the Sun will transit over Saturn at 11 Virgo. This is an aspect that screams
SULLEN. REPRESSED.. So it would seem protest will not be productive and the
result is mass resignation. I think that most people in this country have a
McCain/ Hillary combo as worst case scenario and I get a feeling it may be
seen. ~~~ Gold did get down to the mid 800s recently. Is this low enough to wash out all the weak hands? I don't know.. Personally I am long from a lot lower than 800 and it will be tough to average up much unless it feels like it is perfect timing. Right now that risk does not feel like it is ripe enough for me personally to load up any more than I already am. I would think that I am not alone in this notion. There is a BIG difference between hot money going in and out of something and longer term holders perspective on what is a fair price value to commit to. SEE GOLD DAILY CHART Fact is the Spoos are poised to rally to full relief now with mid summer a likely top of relief. I believe that equity will be touted as an INFLATION hedge at or near the relief rally highs. If that be the case all the way back up to the ideal relief point at SPX 1500 or so then gold will look a lot less appealing to speculators and should be ripe for a low about the same time. We also have that mass death situation from the cyclone in May and we already know that the Boxing day tsunami came within one day of a VERY MAJOR USD Low. So the simple answer is the USD may be in some form of recovery for a few moths at least. This is my reasoning for turning my nose up on going long gold until I see early June. The USD The Europeans seem reluctant to cut rates any time soon but in the end the value of a currency has something to do with desirability of the investment available denominated in a currency. Could it be the EU is too focused on an inflation threat that may be non existent if they dawdle long enough their economy goes flat like an old tire? Maybe the EU is lagging what the USA has been experiencing and by the time they cut rates enough inflation will be the least worry. My point being currency is not a cut and dry valuation issue it has to do with RELATIVE valuation and only the price of actual stuff is where the tell is. . Bottom line on the current gold price I like it for spec position in the low 800s not the upper 800s.. at least for now in the near term. With no obvious technical low in place yet it probably pays to be patient.. Lets face it the market patterns have been disturbed by political forces and then the cyclone emotive energy has potentially given stocks a less dangerous few months ahead. All this will have a tendency to drive Gold lower to at least run out the newcomers who bought in above 800. The flip side of the relief rally is a last capitulation of gold holders who mistimed their entry by being late. Once those sellers are taken in the others who hold below 800 are what is called strong hands. What's up with oil Seeing my local gas purveyor selling fuel at 3.89 a gallon this weekend sure is sobering. There is a traditional ratio of an OZ of gold and barrel of oil usually resting at about 10 to one. Over the last few months the ratio is being stretched a LOT. Now running at 9 to 12 this means that either gold is mis priced or Oil is. The reason the market favors oil over gold at the moment may be the risk factors of a war with Iran looming as much as a weak dollar. Have had a little inside info come my way that the US military is buying diesel fuel with reckless abandon and is storing it in massive warehouses. Is this a prep for war that WILL indeed cut fuel shipments? or is it simply a hedge on future price hikes in crude. The problem is the government is using our tax money to out bid and horde fuel. Another reason gold is out of favor could have to do with the emergence of a new gold carry trade. Back in the 1990s selling of gold provided capital to "invest" (leverage) into other assets that were assumed to be better performers. Considering banking are practically incapable of providing capital for speculation it may be that selling gold is now back in favor as a source of spec funds. Just a hunch here. THAT is a dangerous game. If a massive short position in gold comes under attack?? well 1500 an OZ may be a very conservative target. The price of "stuff" Reports are coming out about consumers selling heirlooms and SUV's and maybe not the kitchen sink yet but this is sign of a DEFLATION or a de leverage of the consumer who has to do something about debt colliding with food and fuel. Maxed credit cards at high rates. No refi ATM to fall back on. And this is PRE ELECTION. Wait till the really bad news comes out. Being a home seller right now is no treat. I hear from my realtor that about 50% of signed deals are falling through. And THAT includes pre qualified deals. Banks just don't want to lend.
|
